Monday, January 16, 2012

Misdirected Cause And Effect Relationships

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The media is a primary conduit of mis-and-disinformation propagated by publication of false or misleading cause and effect relationships.
There are tens of thousands of “scientific” papers produced each year by students and faculty who are required to produce a thesis for their course of study.
There are also thousands of papers produced by those who have an economic, political or social crusade to promote.
There is currently a multi-billion dollar taxpayer funded initiative on man-made global warming that bases and presents its cause and effect results on a “consensus” of like-minded team members advertised as being “peer reviewed” factual science.
Most of these papers are either based on man-made mathematical models or statistical analysis of historical data. Few if any rely on the rigor of “the scientific method” and even fewer are vetted by truly independent public peer reviews.
Many journals and the major media republish these papers as if they were scientific fact.
The folly of all this results when individuals, medical groups, organizations and or government entities base their decisions or policies on faulty data or analysis.
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The following is an example of this well established process:
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For those of you who watch what you eat, here's the final word on nutrition and health. It's a relief to know the truth after all those conflicting nutritional studies.
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1. The Japanese eat very little fat and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans.
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2. The Mexicans eat a lot of fat and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans.
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3. The Chinese drink very little red wine and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans.
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4. The Italians drink a lot of red wine and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans...
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5. The Germans drink a lot of beer and eat lots of sausages and fats and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans.
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CONCLUSION:
Eat and drink what you like. Speaking English is apparently what kills you.
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Prior related blog items:
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http://roanokeslant.blogspot.com/2010/02/roanoke-unhealthy.html
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http://roanokeslant.blogspot.com/2010/02/promoting-faulty-cause-and-effect-data.html
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